Taking the long view

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More executives and corporate board membersĀ feel pressure to deliver short-termĀ results than they did just a few years ago,Ā and the situation is getting worse. RoughlyĀ three-quarters of them are being pushedĀ to demonstrate a boost in performanceĀ over a two-year horizon – or less – evenĀ though it’s generally known that short termĀ investing destroys value.

How can the trend be reversed?

This overarching question is what guided a dinnertime discussionĀ at an annual roundtable co-hosted by Corporate KnightsĀ during the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland. TheĀ roundtable was held in partnership with the United Nations backedĀ Principles for Responsible Investment (PRI) and the UNĀ Global Compact.

The 40 guests who attended, including representatives fromĀ major corporations, pension funds, sovereign funds and governmentĀ organizations, were asked to imagine a world where bigĀ investors prioritize long term thinking; a marketplace whereĀ investment managers are hired and compensated based on theirĀ ability to align with long-term objectives.

In such a world, investors would be more inclined to invest inĀ and engage with companies focused on long-term value creationĀ and sustainable operations. Capital would shift to more illiquidĀ asset classes, such as infrastructure and real estate, and companyĀ management would no longer be held hostage to quarterly financial-Ā only reporting.

ā€œWe know it’s the right thing to do, but that’s not what’s happeningĀ as capital flows through the value chain,ā€ said roundtableĀ co-chair Mark Wiseman, president and chief executive of theĀ Canada Pension Plan Investment Board (CPPIB). SomewhereĀ along that value chain – from savers to major asset owners to assetĀ managers to corporations – the long view has been neglected.

Major asset owners such as pension funds, insurance firms,Ā mutual funds and sovereign wealth funds invest on behalf of longtermĀ savers, taxpayers and investors. Their fiduciary responsibilitiesĀ stretch over generations in many cases, and their combinedĀ influence has grown over the decades. Today, for example, theyĀ own 73 per cent of the Top 1,000 companies in the U.S. versus 47Ā per cent in 1973.

ā€œHow is it that those asset owners have abdicated their role inĀ demanding that the capital they represent be put to the best longtermĀ value creation?ā€ asked Wiseman.

Fellow co-chair Dominic Barton, global managing director ofĀ McKinsey & Company, shared some results from a McKinsey-CPPIB survey of 1,000 executives and board members to illustrateĀ how pervasive ā€œshort-termismā€ has become:

• 63 per cent of respondents said the pressure to demonstrateĀ short-term financial performance had increased overĀ the last five years;

• 79 per cent felt most pressure to demonstrate strong financial performance over two years or less;

• only 7 per cent said they were pressured to deliver strong financial performance over a horizon of five years orĀ more;

• 73 per cent felt they should be using a time horizonĀ of more than three years;

• 86 per cent agreed that havingĀ a long-term time horizon would help them make betterĀ decisions.

Wiseman said big investors have to start acting more likeĀ the owners they are. It starts by clearly defining their long-termĀ objectives and setting up governance structures that align withĀ those objectives. It also requires that they be more active owners – for example, exercising more of their proxy voter rights andĀ demanding that the corporations they hold regularly report onĀ long-term metrics.

Quarterly reports alone don’t tell the whole story, said CorporateĀ Knights vice-chairman Sean Flannery, former chief investmentĀ officer for State Street Global Advisors, Americas. ā€œWhenĀ we look at quarterly numbers, do we really believe they measureĀ all that we need?ā€

More integrated reporting of financial and non-financial environmental,Ā social and governance information is a necessary step.

At present, roughly 10 per cent of global businesses are taking theĀ idea of integrated reporting seriously. ā€œClearly there’s still a longĀ way to go,ā€ said Georg Kell, executive director of the UN GlobalĀ Compact. The field is divided by those who don’t see it worth theĀ effort and those who are driven by the need to be leaders. ā€œIf youĀ want to become a leader or stay a leader, you cannot afford toĀ ignore non-financial issues,ā€ said Kell.

UN Global Compact has partnered with the UN PRI to studyĀ investor attitudes and how they are changing over time relative toĀ those of chief executive officers. The study, to be published thisĀ spring, will be based on interviews of 100 institutional investorsĀ from around the world.

Doug Peterson, president and CEO of credit-ratings leaderĀ McGraw Hill Financial (which includes Standard & Poor’s), saidĀ the emphasis on long-term thinking comes at an important time.Ā Developed countries have crumbling infrastructure, while developingĀ countries are in massive infrastructure expansion mode.

There’s a $200 billion gap each year in infrastructure capitalĀ needs, Peterson said, and the gap has grown since the financialĀ crisis. ā€œGovernments don’t have the same level of capacity to doĀ financing, and banks are shrinking their balance sheets, so thereĀ really is a need for non-traditional infrastructure financing to getĀ involved.

ā€œFilling this gap requires long-term thinking, because it hasĀ long-term benefits to society and creates a virtuous cycle,ā€ Peterson explained. Shifting capital this way will also reduce liquidity inĀ portfolios, driving volatility out of the market.

Offering the CEO perspective, Suncor Energy’s Steve WilliamsĀ and Teck Resources’ Don Lindsay described their jobs asĀ a constant balancing act. Lindsay, for example, talked about theĀ ā€œbrutalā€ pushback he often faces with decisions like investing inĀ land conservation and wastewater treatment for mining operations.

ā€œIf (big shareholders) acted like owners they’d fully understandĀ that we must do this,ā€ said Lindsay. ā€œIt’s not an option. It’sĀ about who we are, who we are as a community – a broader globalĀ community.ā€

Williams described the different signals he gets from shareholders,Ā which can be far from a homogeneous bunch. ā€œOne of theĀ things a CEO has to do is keep all of the balls in the air, because heĀ has to be able to survive in order to pursue the long term.ā€Ā If you don’t survive you can’t start to influence significantĀ change, yet the average CEO in North America only sits in theĀ job for a few years, he said.

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